Personal Finance Foundations

Model Portfolios: Sample Allocations by Age and Risk Tolerance

Written by Jim Norris · NorrisAI AlphaLens · Updated August 2026

Knowing what asset allocation is doesn't tell you what percentage of your own money should be in stocks versus bonds. These are concrete starting-point templates — not personalized advice — built around the same principles every major brokerage and academic study on the topic agrees on: your mix should reflect your time horizon and your ability to stomach a downturn, not your mood about the market this week.

These are illustrative starting points, not recommendations for you specifically. Your actual allocation depends on your income, goals, other assets, and risk tolerance — factors a template can't see. Use these to understand the range of reasonable options, then adjust or talk to a licensed financial advisor before acting.

The One Lever That Matters Most: Stocks vs. Bonds

Every model portfolio below is really just a variation on one decision: what percentage sits in stocks (higher expected return, higher volatility) versus bonds (lower expected return, more stability). Everything else — which funds, which sectors, international exposure — is a refinement on top of that one split.

Three Templates by Risk Tolerance

Conservative

For a short time horizon or low tolerance for swings

30%
70%
30% stocks · 70% bonds & cash equivalents

Fits someone within a few years of needing the money — near retirement, saving for a house down payment, or simply unwilling to watch a large balance swing. Lower expected long-term return in exchange for smaller drawdowns.

Moderate

The most common default for a multi-decade time horizon

60%
40%
60% stocks · 40% bonds

The classic "60/40" — a long-standing balanced benchmark. Enough equity exposure to grow meaningfully over time, enough bonds to soften a bad year without requiring nerves of steel.

Aggressive

For a long time horizon and high tolerance for volatility

90%
10%
90% stocks · 10% bonds

Common for investors decades from needing the money, who can ride out multi-year downturns without selling. Highest expected long-term return of the three, and the largest potential drawdowns along the way.

“Diversification is the only free lunch in investing.”

Harry Markowitz · Nobel laureate in Economics, 1990 · father of Modern Portfolio Theory

By Age: A Common Starting Rule

A widely used (and widely debated) rule of thumb: subtract your age from 110 or 120 to get a starting stock percentage. It's a simplification, not a formula — but it captures the real principle that your capacity for risk generally shrinks as your time horizon shortens.

Age RangeIllustrative Stock/Bond SplitTypical Reasoning
20s–30s90/10Decades to recover from downturns; growth is the priority
40s80/20Still a long horizon, but starting to add stability
50s65/35Retirement is visible; large drawdowns matter more
60s and retired45/55Withdrawals begin; capital preservation gains priority

These are illustrative reference points, not formulas. Someone with a pension, high risk tolerance, or income outside the market may reasonably run more equity-heavy at any age — and someone who needs the money soon should run more conservative regardless of age.

The Simplest Version: The Three-Fund Portfolio

Popularized by Vanguard founder John Bogle and his followers (the "Bogleheads"), this approach builds the entire portfolio from three broad, low-cost index categories instead of picking individual holdings:

You then weight the three funds according to whichever stock/bond split from above fits your situation, and split the stock portion between U.S. and international however you're comfortable (a common range is 70–80% U.S., 20–30% international). Some investors simplify even further to two funds by skipping the international split entirely.

“The majesty of simplicity.”

John Bogle · Founder, Vanguard Group · on the case for simple, low-cost portfolios

Common Mistakes

Once your allocation is set, research the individual holdings like an institution.

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This guide is educational and does not constitute financial, tax, or legal advice. The model portfolios above are illustrative examples, not personalized recommendations — they do not account for your individual income, goals, other assets, or risk tolerance. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Consult a licensed financial advisor before making allocation decisions. NorrisAI AlphaLens is not a registered investment adviser, broker-dealer, or fiduciary.

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